What Roulette Strategies Do and Don’t Work?
It’s important to note that with all the known methods that have worked and even made headlines, the physics of the roulette wheel was involved. As far as I’m aware, there has never been a case where a player has won millions over sustained and long-term periods of play without using physics. Certainly players have won millions with sheer luck. But I’m referring to methods that have repeatable success.
The common factors of the effective methods:
- Real roulette wheels only
- Roulette wheel physics
- Inside bets based on sectors of the wheel
I’m not aware of any legitimately effective method that beats roulette, without all of the above factors. So the most important roulette tip I can give is focus on real wheel physics.
Strategies That DON’T work:
Save yourself some time and understand why most systems lose:
Betting progression: most gamblers believe that if you bet higher to cover losses, that you’ll eventually win and your bankroll will increase. But roulette doesn’t work this way. When you increase bet size, all you do is increase the amount you risk on that individual spin. Remember that the wheel has no memory. It doesn’t know or care if there were 10 reds in a row. And even after 10 reds, the odds or red or black spinning next haven’t changed. So changing bet size wont help at all (unless you actually have a method to increase the accuracy of predictions).
Thinking something is “due”: as explained above, even after 10 or so reds, the odds of red or black spinning next do not change at all. Nothing is ever “due” to happen. The ball lands where it does only from cause and effect. That’s real physical variables only.
Systems that work well on a set sample of spins, but not new spins: Every set of previous spins will appear to have mysterious coincidences and patterns that aren’t really patterns at all. In fact you can put them down to simple statistics in the sense that certain sequences of spins will inevitably occur over time. It doesn’t mean they will occur over new spins in the near future.
Another important consideration is the house edge. For the European wheel, it is -2.7%. A simple explanation is if you bet on one number, you can expect to win 1 in 37 spins. When you win, you are paid 35 chips plus your original bet. So after 37 spins, on average you’ll be left with 36 chips. If everything was fair and the house edge didn’t exist, you should have 37 chips after the 37 spins. To make this even simpler to understand, even when you win, you still actually lose because you are paid an UNFAIR amount. The effect of this is you slowly drain your bankroll. The only way to overcome this is by winning more times than statistically expected. In this case, winning more than 1 in 37 times.
Players that have no understanding of these concepts will forever create the same systems again and again, but just repackaged a different way. And many players waste years of their life before they understand why they’ve been losing. Almost every professional gambler was once at this stage – even myself. And now we ask ourselves how we couldn’t see plain logic before.
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